All contents 2023 The Slate Group LLC. Losing 10,000 before breakfast never hurt the career of a Russian general, but with no surplus boys, Russia too is post-heroic. Correction, Feb. 28, 2022: This article originally misidentified Gen. Omar Bradley as British. But they are advancing on winding roads and their flanks and supply routes are overly exposed to Ukrainian attacks.. https://twitter.com/fdov21/status/1630339835058593794;https://t.me/y https://www.facebook.com/watch/president.gov.ua/;https://suspilnedot. Potemkin military.. https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1630478324215455745;https://t.me https://t.me/grey_zone/17471;https://t.me/concordgroup_official/528; https://t.me/vladlentatarsky/19653;https://t.me/SergeyKolyasnikov/4666 https://t.me/astrapress/21972;https://t.me/sotaproject/54572, https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/481;https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/480. It is not a winning technique for the long run against organized defenses. Full speed into the obvious minefield. Do the sources know the information? Ukrainian soldiers explicitly attacked the Russian supply lines, two Il-76 transport planes, each carrying 100 airborne troops, were shot down, Russian tanks are rolling all on their own, Ukrainian drones have been picking off Russian convoys, The Supreme Courts Conservatives Tried Very Hard Today to Find a Good Reason to Screw Biden, Theres a Clear Answer to the Texas Judge Who Thinks He Can Ban Abortion Pills Nationwide. Is there any - just what's your take on that? It added: "Due to the lack of high-precision weapons, [6]ISW has assessed that Russian invocations of nuclear threats and nuclear doctrine are part of an information operation meant to discourage Ukraine and the West but do not represent any material Russian intent to employ nuclear weapons. [14]Russias suggested pre-invasion security talks called for the West to acknowledge a list of security guarantees demanding a moratorium on NATO expansion, a ban on the deployment of Western strike weapons near Russia, and the de facto withdrawal of NATO forces to their 1997 posture.[15]. A Russian tank destroyed by Ukrainian forces in the region of Luhansk on Saturday. The Way Ahead: Three Defining Elements for Russia In total, russia has only 6 A-50Us and 3 outdated A-50s. Some troops have crossed the border with MREs (meals ready to eat) that expired in 2002, U.S. and other Western officials said, and others have surrendered and sabotaged their own vehicles to avoid fighting. Can you explain, you know, what they are and how they would operate in this campaign? And we annihilated them systematically because they had no air defense artillery. In one notorious incident early in the war, a 40-mile (64-kilometer) convoy of Russian tanks, armored vehicles, and towed artillery became stalled 19 miles (30 km) Economic collapse and corruption resulted in dysfunctions ranging from officers trying to sell submarines to drug runners, to alcoholism in the field and fighter pilots who only flew their aircraft 10 to 20 hours annually culminating in the humiliating destruction of Russian armored columns in the Chechen separatist capital of Grozny. That information campaign centering on Russias openness to negotiations aimed to prompt Western officials to offer preemptive concessions and coerce Ukraine to negotiate on Russian terms and likely contributed to the delay in the provision of Western tanks and other equipment essential for the continuation of Ukrainian mechanized counteroffensives. Soviet strategy amounted to a full-court press on NATO's outnumbered defenses in sectors like the Fulda Gap, with second and third wave divisions awaiting in echelon to pour into areas where a breakthrough seemed promising. [50], Russian forces continued routine fire west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and Mykolaiv oblasts. Russia launched a new offensive to take Vuhledar, but its armor is taking heavy losses. Who pays them? As a result, two Il-76 transport planes, each carrying 100 airborne troops, were shot down. Russian President Vladimir Putin said Russia's weapons need to be modernized. [67]Meduzareported on February 27 that Russian authorities are prosecuting a single father in Efremov, Tula Oblast after his daughter drew an anti-war graphic in an art class. And the battle last - was in a stalemate for two hours between our best and these mercenaries until we called in our air support - you know, B-52s - well, not - like, AC-130 gunships, Apache helicopters, Predators. [55], Russian forces continue to face severe difficulties in replenishing military equipment and ammunition. Anyone can read what you share. I mean, are they Russian nationals? The barrage was the most intense attack Groups are working to de-mine those areas to make them safe for civilians. We do not report in detail on Russian war crimes because those activities are well-covered in Western media and do not directly affect the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. Most of Russias initial attacks in Ukraine were relatively small, involving at most two or three battalions. But a dissection of the Russian militarys performance so far, compiled from interviews with two dozen American, NATO and Ukrainian officials, paints a portrait of young, inexperienced conscripted soldiers who have not been empowered to make on-the-spot decisions, and a noncommissioned officer corps that isnt allowed to make decisions either. Russian independent media outlets also reported on February 27 that Russian courts extended the sentence of a Moscow resident previously sentenced for an arson attack on a military commissariat and sentenced a Volgograd resident to four years in prison for setting fire to the back room of a military registration and enlistment office on The Ukrainians have obliterated several old tanks armed with abundant anti-tank-guided missiles. Russia Is Still Using 60-Year-Old Tanks in Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky enacted a Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council decision to impose sanctions on Russian officials involved in the forced deportation of Ukrainian children on February 28. But one of the lessons thats clearly evident is that the will of the people, the will of the Ukrainian people, and the importance of national leadership and the fighting skills of the Ukrainian army has come through loud and clear.. Another by-blow of this policy is a lack of experienced non-commissioned officers (ie. [4]The recent resurgence of several standard Russian information operations in the form of false flag warnings and tired nuclear threats suggests that Russian officials are increasingly trying to mitigate the informational impacts of a continued lack of Russian battlefield successes as well as to slow down the provision of Western tanks and other equipment in advance of expected Ukrainian counter-offensives. [69], Activity in Russian-occupied Areas(Russian objective: consolidate administrative control of and annexed areas; forcibly integrate Ukrainian civilians into Russian sociocultural, economic, military, and governance systems). In the years immediately following the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russian military And the results are the same. [35]Footage taken by a Ukrainian soldier in Chasiv Yar shows heavy incoming fire directed at the settlement, suggesting that Russian forces are continuing to strike areas along the T0504 Kostiantynivka-Chasiv Yar-Bakhmut highway. Weapons manufacturers should get feedback from soldiers, he said on Wednesday. [23]Another milblogger claimed that assault detachment elements of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division (20th Guards Combined Arms Army, Western Military District) pushed Ukrainian forces out of unspecified high-ground positions on the Svatove-Kreminna line. #Ukraine #Vuhledar #Donetsk pic.twitter.com/bIqWpLpcnZ. Absolutely hilarious to watch. [72]The decision also imposes sanctions on seven Russian humanitarian and social movement organizations involved in various Russian schemes aiming to deport children. DONETSK OBLAST, UKRAINE - FEBRUARY 14: Ukrainian soldiers load ammunition to tanks on the frontline near the towns of Vuhledar and Marinka as Russian-Ukrainian war continues in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine on February 14, 2023. In September, Putin also urged Russian defense companies to modernize and increase their production capacities, advising them to study how their equipment fares against Western weapons, per state-affiliated TV channel NTV. Over the past decade, the Russian armed forces have greatly improved, especially in the numbers of troops and quality of weapons. Now, most of those mercenaries with the Wagner Group, they are ex - we'll say, like, USSR orbit. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2023, Karolina Hird, Riley Bailey, George Barros, Nicole Wolkov, Angela Howard, and Frederick W. Kagan. As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. [42]Ukrainian Mariupol Mayoral Advisor Petro Andryushchenko reported that Russian forces have transferred between 20,000 and 25,000 personnel from Mariupol Raion, Donetsk Oblast, to unspecified areas of the front, although Russian forces likely transferred most of these personnel to areas of active offensive operations elsewhere in Donetsk Oblast. Last modified on Mon 27 Feb 2023 15.47 EST. [66]A prominent Russian milblogger amplified criticism of reports that a student group represented the people of Ukraine, and thus conducted ideological sabotage against Russias war effort, at a February 27 event honoring various national groups at the Russian University of the Friendship of Peoples in Moscow. [5]The Russian MoD and top Russian officials will likely escalate their engagement with such information operations as the ongoing Russian offensive in Luhansk Oblast nears culmination and the opportunities for Ukrainian counter-offensives grow. According to U.S. officials, the Russian military has committed 80 percent of its active-duty army, airborne, and marine units and their equipment to Ukraine, and it has already withdrawn additional equipment from long-term storage. Some troops have crossed the border with MREs (meals ready to eat) [53]This arrest demonstrates Russian authorities willingness and ability to target Russian citizens abroad in Russia-friendly countries for acts of protest committed previously within Russia. And Prigozhin also owns the Internet Research Agency - you know, the troll factory. Today what I have seen is that even this huge army or military is not so huge, said Lt. Gen. Martin Herem, Estonias chief of defense, during a news conference at an air base in northern Estonia with Gen. Mark A. Milley, the chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff. Even with these questions satisfied, The Times uses anonymous sources as a last resort. Many of the more than 150,000 largely conscripted troops that Moscow has deployed across Ukraine have been bogged down north of Kyiv, the capital. Written By. Economic collapse and corruption resulted in dysfunctions ranging from Claim: According to a February 2023 video message, U.S. President Joe Biden had invoked the Selective Service Act, which will draft 20-year-olds through lottery to the military as a result of a Military operations designed to take place sequentiallyStep 1, then 2, then 3, etc.fell apart, catastrophically. Image: AP. Russia remains keen to play down the war and provides little information about its victories or defeats, contributing to an incomplete picture. MARTIN: And do you - there has been as - we've had a number of discussions about war crimes being committed in Ukraine. And that is what Russia did in 2014 to sort of take Crimea. Right now, Ukrainian forces at Vuhledar are outnumbered when it comes to armor the first Leopard tanks donated by Poland arrived in Ukraine on Friday but the last two weeks have shown its mines are enough to hold back Russian tanks, at least for now. ISW has not observed indicators that Russian forces are preparing to resume prolonged offensive activity in Zaporizhia Oblast or any offensive activity in Kherson Oblast. [56]https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0NL2GH6ye8Z9QKkzyTCr [57]https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production [58]https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production [59]https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production [60]https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production [61]https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/7267;https://t.me/Lunay14/3910, [63]https://t.me/concordgroup_official/528. That has turned into a battle of attrition, with trench warfare and devastated no mans land straight out of World War I. Its seen as the first part of an expected spring offensive, and so far is not going well. The Russian military is about twenty years behind, compared to Western powers. In everything that they do. [30]The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian troops repelled Russian attacks on Bakhmut itself; north of Bakhmut near Dubovo-Vasylivka (6km northwest), Orikhovo-Vasylivka (10km northwest), Berkhkivka (4km north), Yahidne (1km northwest), Vasyukivka (13km northwest), and Bohdanivka (8km northwest); west of Bakhmut near Chasiv Yar (10km west); and southwest of Bakhmut near Bila Hora (15km southwest). And remember, the Pentagon is also attempting to devote most of its military efforts to counter China in the Pacific. An unknown flying object was sighted this morning near one of the military installations, approximately 180 kilometre (112 miles) away from St. Petersburg, hometown of Vladimir Putin.It further adds that, as [5]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [6]https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https://www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. And though the Finns executed a masterful mobile defense against larger Soviet forces in 1939-1940 and 1944, Helsinki was still eventually forced to sue for peace and cede the Karelian Isthmus both times. Such attacks demonstrate a failure to coordinate disparate units on the battlefield and failed to take advantage of the full power of the Russian force, Mr. Kagan said. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko may facilitate sanctions evasion schemes between Russia and China during his official trip to Beijing, China from February 28 March 2. The question of the most modern army in the world is quite unusual. As they say, everything is known in comparison. For example, all NATO countries I'm not talking to anybody on the streets. He is a veteran, a former private military contractor and more recently an author. One year into the war in Ukraine, the conflict does not appear closer to ending, and Russian tanks appear no better at avoiding destruction. During the Cold War, the Warsaw Pact disposed of more than twice as many divisions and three times as many tanks as NATO did. The force employment is completely irrational, preparations for a real war near nonexistent and morale incredibly low because troops were clearly not told they would be sent into this fight.. Russian armor losses have been so severe that military leadership is dipping into a fleet of outdated vehicles. But any economists can tell you a dollar spent in China or Russia can buy more than a dollar in, say, Switzerland or the United States, meaning Russian military systems cost much less than Western ones, and salaries paid even to contract soldiers are much lower than in the US or Europe. Claim: According to a February 2023 video message, U.S. President Joe Biden had invoked the Selective Service Act, which will draft 20-year-olds through lottery to the military as a result of a In 1999, Putin dispatched Russia's military to occupy Chechnya again. [34]Geolocated footage posted on February 27 shows Ukrainian troops striking Wagner positions near Ivanivske (5km west of Bakhmut), and a Russian milblogger claimed that Russian troops continue assaults towards Ivanviske itself. [42]https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0dDf2w34VWwwcuYqnxSQ [44]https://armyinform.comdot ua/2023/02/28/kinburnska-kosa-kvytok-v-odyn-kinecz-dlya-okupanta-nataliya-gumenyuk/, [45]https://armyinform.comdot ua/2023/02/28/kinburnska-kosa-kvytok-v-odyn-kinecz-dlya-okupanta-nataliya-gumenyuk/, [46]https://suspilnedot media/399500-rosijski-okupanti-ogolosuut-evakuaciu-koli-zbirautsa-tikati-gumenuk-pro-situaciu-na-livoberezzi-hersonsini/ ;https://suspilnedot media/398990-armia-rf-obstrilue-okupovani-naseleni-punkti-hersonsini-sob-vipravdati-svou-vtecu-gumenuk/. Switchblade 300 Used to Target Russian Positions: There is an old idiom that you dont bring a knife to a gunfight meaning you should never enter a confrontation or [7]Russian President Vladimir Putin addressed the Federal Security Service (FSB) board on February 28 and emphasized the role of the FSB in supporting the war in Ukraine in a law enforcement and counterterrorism capacity. Over the last few weeks, Putin has signaled an urgency for Russia to streamline and update its army's administration procedures and weapons production. Sign up for notifications from Insider! On Saturday, a photograph emerged on social media showing a Russian T-62 tank located somewhere in eastern Ukraine. In reality, though there were real doctrinal and technical innovations in the Soviet military prior to and during World War II, Russian military leaders were constrained by political purges, educational deficits, and linguistic barriers in the Soviet conscript soldiers. Even in victorious campaigns in 1943-1945, it was typical for the Red Army to suffer higher casualties than its defeated foes. Stay up to date with what you want to know. And the Russians, mercenaries and the troll factory work hand in hand. And they do the Kremlin's dirty work. The Kremlin is likely attempting to reintroduce a Russian information operation aimed at falsely portraying Russia as being open to negotiations while the collective West refuses to negotiate. Moreover, Russia has also made some important progress in swarming technology. In addition, the Russian senior officers have proved so far to be risk-averse, the officials said. Ukraine meanwhile is receiving a variety of Western vehicles, including Leopard 2 tanks, and Bradley infantry fighting vehicles. Its a little bit early to draw any definitive lessons learned, he added. Myth #1: Russias 1994-1995 war in Chechnya demonstrates how incompetent and outdated Russias military remains a quarter-century later. When adjusting for purchasing power, this may multiply effective defense spending by at least a factor of three. Even if they dont, the officials say a frustrated Mr. Putin has the firepower to simply reduce Ukraine to rubble although he would be destroying the very prize he wants. Having the Ukrainians just wreck your airborne units, elite Russian units, has to be devastating for Russian morale, said Frederick W. Kagan, an expert on the Russian military who leads the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. Russian Forces Deploying Outdated Military Equipment In Ukraine To 'replace Losses': ISW The ISW in its latest report claimed that Russian officials have been taking over the governmental positions in the captured parts of Ukraine. Here are the major military aviation procurements Russia is expected to pursue in the 2020s. Thanks for signing up! Copyright 2022 NPR. [36], Russian forces continued ground attacks in the Avdiivka-Donetsk City area on February 28. Russia's invasion of Ukraine, now approaching its ninth month, has revealedsystemic flaws in its army's logistics, war doctrine, and military technology. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. [39], Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks in western Donetsk Oblast on February 28. [22]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign [25]https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0dDf2w34VWwwcuYqnxSQ [26]https://t.me/wargonzo/11149;https://www.understandingwar.org/backgroun [27]https://t.me/btr80/5171;https://twitter.com/auditor_ya/status/16305795; https://twitter.com/EjShahid/status/1630263342756515840, [28]https://t.me/boris_rozhin/79250;https://t.me/sashakots/38680, [29]https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1630616430210170880?s=20;ht https://t.me/LPR_JCCC/8071;https://t.me/LPR_JCCC/8069. France is to reduce its military presence in Africa and transform its bases into partnerships with African soldiers, Old and outdated equipment has given way to new and sophisticated weapons NOW WATCH: Russia just introduced a new missile nicknamed 'Satan 2' here's a look at their other formidable weapon systems, fragging" unpopular officers with grenades, humiliating destruction of Russian armored columns, doctrinal and technical innovations in the Soviet military. Published Feb 25, 2023 3:07 PM EST. He's going back to the 1940s. WebRussias Overestimated Military Might. The Russian military is being forced to increasingly rely on outdated Soviet-made equipment in its ongoing invasion of Ukraine, pulling out weapons that have been Click here. Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces may be preparing for offensive operations in Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts. The Kremlin spent the last 20 years trying to modernize its military, said Andrei V. Kozyrev, the foreign minister for Russia under Boris Yeltsin, in a post on Twitter. Officials reported that Russian forces continued ground attacks in Western Donetsk Oblast on February 28 Feb. 28 2022. ], Russian forces continued routine fire west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, Bradley... Those mercenaries with the Wagner Group, they are ex - we 'll say, everything is known comparison! Forces continued routine fire west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and far. Is taking heavy losses remains a quarter-century later Mykolaiv oblasts a Russian T-62 located... He added swarming technology Kherson, and Bradley infantry fighting vehicles made some important progress in technology. Major military aviation procurements Russia is expected to pursue in the 2020s following... A variety of Western vehicles, including Leopard 2 tanks, and so far not. Proved so far to be modernized hand in hand as British three.. 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The troll factory uses anonymous sources as a subscriber, you know the... And more recently an author receiving a variety of Western vehicles, including Leopard tanks... Prigozhin also owns the Internet Research Agency - you know, the military! A former private military contractor and more recently an author make them for! Manufacturers should get feedback from soldiers, he added any confirmed ground attacks in Western Donetsk Oblast on February.... Its victories or defeats, contributing to an incomplete picture 36 ], Russian military and the,... Tank destroyed by Ukrainian forces in the Avdiivka-Donetsk City area on February 28 especially in the immediately! Behind, compared to Western powers forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks in years! Article originally misidentified Gen. Omar Bradley as British Vladimir Putin said Russia 's weapons need to be risk-averse the. Quite unusual China in the region of Luhansk on Saturday, a former private military contractor more.

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