It isnt easy to quantify the benefits of delaying purchasing your primary residence. Updated January 2023: By searching, you agree to the Terms of Use, andPrivacy Policy. But what about the increase in interest rates? Branca, 30, knew he wanted to buy somewhere in Salt Lake County so hed have a reasonable commute to work. (2023), Cost of Living in Hawaii: What You Need to Know (2023), How to Find the Best Mortgage Rates (2023), Outdoor activity opportunities are unlimited. The Ha read more, Click here to browse our Real Estate Agent Directory and contact top-rated agents in your area! While at the beginning of the year, homebuyers could purchase a home at an interest rate of around 3%, currently borrowers are looking at more than 7%. . South Carolina Housing Market 2023 Report, North Carolina Housing Market 2023 Report. Wallethub found Utah is the. Although mortgage rates are expected to rise, the increase will be modest. Of all the major U.S. metros, Miami was the most searched for destination among homebuyers looking to relocate between Nov '22 - Jan '23. However, the spike in listing prices, mortgage rates, and rents will somehow be offset as income is also expected to rise. As for interest rates, Wood noted forecasts vary widely, anywhere from 5% to 9%, but he personally expects rates to bounce between 6.5% and 7.5% in 2023. Realtor.com has predicted that the Salt Lake City region will be the top housing market in the country for the year with an anticipated price and sales growth of 8.5% and 15.2% respectively. The beautiful Rocky Mountains are our backyard, giving us an unlimited opportunity for outdoor experiences of any kind! I like the word contraction better than collapse, said Jim Wood, director of research and science and the Ivory-Boyer senior fellow at the Kem C. Gardner Institute. Use analytics to nd lucrative traditional or Airbnb properties in a matter of minutes. Eskic, however, is predicting Utah home prices will drop 9% year over year in 2023. But, we had a recession then, Dejan, we had a recession. Homes that sold above list price likely received multiple offers. Some buy-and-hold while others enter the rental market for passive income. In many respects it will be an uphill journey given. Utah rallied relatively quickly back to a strong economy compared to the other 49 states. Lake Powell can drop your jaw around every bend of the gorgeous reservoir with 200-foot cliffs. But Wood is more bullish than Eskic. Both bearded men chuckled, along with laughs and applause from the audience. Utah Housing Market: House Prices & Trends | Redfin Utah Housing Market Home prices in Utah were down 3.0% year-over-year in January. In Utah, housing prices have begun to decline, down from their peak in May, when the median sales price of Salt Lake County homes was $565,600. Its falling off faster than we thought it would.. In December 2022, Cache County home prices were up 2.1% compared to last year, selling for a median price of $444K. Several people claim that hedge funds, investors, and cash buyers are to blame for this lopsidedness. This current environment allows experienced and knowledgeable agents to negotiate more seller concessions, which can help buy down the rate, giving the buyers a more affordable and competitive monthly payment. Our Utah real estate market data is updated quarterly to aid in your real estate forecasts. So (many have) stopped new construction and consequently weve seen new production just fall off, Wood said. Listing activity fell 8.3% from the third quarter, but that wasnt surprising given seasonal factors. The market was suddenly plunged into ice cold water when the Federal Reserves war with record levels of inflation sent mortgage rates skyward, and the mask that helped drive home prices so high suddenly lifted. And while the days of sub-3% rates are gone, they are not expected to go exorbitantly high. For further information about the housing market in your area, please dont hesitate to contact your Windermere Real Estate agent. The bull market that has been in place for quite some time appears to have lost its momentum. The Utah housing market has experienced consistent growth in real estate throughout the past five years, but it started to take off in mid-2020. Search and compare real estate agents near you. 2022 housing market forecast Predictions include price drops, terrible consolidation, but better buyer balance, 2022 was a roller coaster year for the housing market, growing number of experts and firms are predicting U.S. home prices will fall, nations median home price ballooned by over 41%, The great reset of 2022: The year the Fed had no mercy on the housing market, U.S. navigating pandemic housing bubble, Fed chairman says. Join Us Neither Wood nor Eskic are predicting a catastrophic, 2007-like crash that sent the global economy tumbling into the Great Recession. Sign up now for a free 7-day trial and get 15% off on your subscription. After a big boom over the past two years, there will essentially be no change nationally in home prices in 2023, said the National Association of Realtors chief economist Lawrence Yun. This would place . Nationwide, an increasing number of firms have downgraded their forecasts and predict U.S. home prices will continue to fall in 2023, Fortune has reported. If one were to understand what the Utah housing market forecast 2022 is implying here is that renters are facing bigger challenges of acquiring their own properties. Even during the 2008 Recession, Utah felt the pain but, comparatively speaking, suffered a less deep economic hit. Its more likely that as mortgage rates continue to decline, the market will find a solid floor in the summer and prices will resume their upward trend as we move into the fall. Property values will likely decline over the next 6 to 12 months and then flatten in the Utah housing market. We also observe a lengthening of the time spent on the market and a decrease in both new listings and sales, which points towards a general slowing down of the Utah housing market. It has been one of if not the most competitive markets in the US in 2021. Even as mortgage rates in recent weeks have ticked down slightly, economists are expecting higher rates to continue to dampen sales throughout 2023. While Eskic said he agrees with Wood about Utahs strong job market, but were operating in a different environment because of the rates and prices.. However, prices are still significantly higher and homes are selling faster compared to 2019 pre-pandemic levels, noted Daniel Hale, Realtor.coms chief economist. Historical Utah real estate data and trends are included below the latest update. There are currently 8,551 residential homes for sale in the United States. The number of newly listed homes was 1,954 and up 1.4% year over year. The direction and pace at which home prices are changing are indicators of the strength of the housing market and whether homes are becoming more or less affordable. Love hiking, biking, or camping? Prices were 3.7% lower than in the third quarter of 2022. Do not sell or share my personal information. Even with todays rising mortgage rates, it will continue to be the time to buy a house in Utah. Utah has seen a significant increase in population over the past decade, which will likely help with the influx of home listings once everyone gets used to the new lending rates. A high or growing percentage of homes selling above list. Despite the wild 2021 ride we all took inflation, a spike in gas prices, and a persistent global health crisis 2022 is looking to be another unique year for the Utah real estate market. They say it will pose challenges, especially for homebuilders, but also rebalance a market thats priced some two-thirds of Utahns out of affording the median priced home. Just to give you an idea, Utah Association of Realtors president Dave Robison said that in-migration is hugely impacting Utah real estate. While home prices have decreased about 3% month over month, home prices are up nearly 9% year over year in August. Shouldnt I wait for mortgage rates to decrease before I buy? Homes that sold above list price likely received multiple offers. In addition, Utahs median listing price is 36% more than homes across the United States. This, combined with higher mortgage rates, likely impacted sales in the fourth quarter. Keep in mind, however, that during the pandemic housing frenzy from early 2020 to late 2022, the nations median home price ballooned by over 41%, so even if the most pessimistic predictions pan out, they arent slated to erase the historic price gains seen over the last two years. The latest migration analysis is based on a sample of about two shattering the 43-year-old record of 20.1% set in 1978," wrote James Wood in the 2022 Housing Forecast Executive Report. Real estate investors number by the thousands in the US. If rates had risen to around 4.5%, the train would still go. Starting in March 2022, the Federal Reserve Bank initiated an aggressive interest rate hike policy as a means to fight back against inflation. To be included in this dataset, a Redfin.com user The number of days on the market had also increased sharply at 39 median D.o.M., compared to 15 the previous year, further indicating that the days when properties were being snatched off the market as soon as they were listed are long gone. He plans to revisit the possibility maybe in another year or two, depending on what happens. Rising financing costs will hinder housing demand and we may see home sales cooling. Once the Fed slows inflation by continued interest rate hikes, they will have to ease the tightening by making money more affordable and accessible. But even though discounts have been swift, Utahs home prices are still slightly up year over year. When he first started looking in November 2021 and into early 2022, Salt Lake Countys median single-family home price had hit $580,000, up 24% from a year earlier, according to the Salt Lake Board of Realtors. However, they expect the market to enter a correction that will persist into 2023 thanks to the Federal Reserves aggressive rate hikes to combat inflation. 2023 will be tough for sales. The question is, how far will that correction run and what will it mean for home prices in 2023? Should expert forecasts be correct, the median house price will rise over $600,000 in the next 12 months. There were only 31.8% of homes that had price drops, up from 10.0% of homes in January last year. If 2022 was a roller coaster year for the housing market, 2023 is expected to bring a painful but necessary real estate hangover. However, because of the stiff competition, Utahns who are looking to buy property should prepare themselves not just financially and physically but also mentally. Dont wait. Theyre both confident Utahs job market is strong enough to avoid sweeping foreclosures and that housing demand will continue due to the states rapid growth and pervasive home shortage. Here are what other organizations and firms are predicting: Glenn Kelman, CEO of Redfin, predicted on a Jan. 4 episode of Barrons Live that the real estate market, particularly when it comes to real estate agents, will experience a painful constriction in 2023. Dont focus on the loss you may believe you are experiencing if you sell today. The cops came and busted everyone.. I just felt totally iced out, Branca said. How can I get a free valuation of a home in Utah? The mortgage rates will likely continue to rise compared to what they are today. One of the many reasons, and perhaps one of the most important reasons folks are moving to Utah, is because this great state boasts one of the strongest economies and job markets in the Nation. Get your free online home valuation in only 2 minutes! But by the end of the year, well stabilize and well be flat, Wood said. The latest housing data shows the median priced home in Utah's most populated county increased to $550,000 in the third quarter of 2021. Boating in Utah can be an unmatched experience. The Utah housing market is poised for economic growth, continually making it a desirable place to live, bringing with it a demand for homes, straining supply, and causing prices to remain and increase in value. However, it is also the third-most populous city in Utah, with a population of 116,961. All Rights Reserved. Key Market Stats for the Utah Housing Market According to September 2022 data, some of the key market stats for the Utah housing market appear as follows: Median home price: $533,500 - a 5.6% Y.o.Y. We could see this start to decrease as the inventory of houses is higher than almost any other month in 2022 (9,387 for September) and the number of days homes are sitting on the market grew from 30 in August to 39 in September according to the real estate website, Redfin. Below is the latest Utah housing market trends analysis. Is the Utah housing market going to crash in 2023? Oakland Real Estate Market: To Invest or Not to Invest? Utah Housing Market Overview What is the housing market like right now? So, while Utahs real estate market is experiencing home prices falling similar to the Nation over this past month, the trend in Utah for housing prices has been an increase. Median home price: $533,500 a 5.6% Y.o.Y. Login. Earlier in 2021, Utah was considered as one of the hottest markets in the country, second only to Idaho. However, in the wake of the Feds aggressive monetary policy, the price growth is not sustainable. Salt Lake City, Utah Just like Utah peaches Forecast home price change by May 2022: 23.5% Local professional: Dave Robison, broker and owner of goBE Realty, and former president of Utah Association of Realtors and Salt Lake Board of Realtors What makes the Salt Lake City market poised for growth? Peak-to-trough, with thepeak being May 2022, he expects prices to decline by a percentage somewhere in the teens, depending on what happens with interest rates over coming months. Considering how crazy the market was in 2020 and 2021, here is the Utah housing market forecast 2022 edition. Median sale price: $611,600. The average months of supply is 3 months, up 3 year over year. The impact of the correction on Utahs real estate market should be softened by its robust economy and limited home inventory. In addition, people are moving to Utah because of the family-friendly environment, high-ranking school systems, and endless outdoor activities available along with the National parks. By Eskics calculations, 79% of Utah households couldnt afford the states median priced home as of the third quarter of 2022. There was a 98.0% sale-to-list price, down 2.7 points year over year. At the time of the writing, the Utah housing market remains a sellers market as the available inventory is not keeping up with the demand despite an increase in the number of houses for sale and months of housing supply. The past 5 years of Utahs housing market have seen an upward trend in housing prices. The cops came, quipped Dejan Eskic, senior research fellow at the University of Utahs Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute, one of Utahs leading housing experts. 36 days on the market. Additional links: Historical Utah Data There are currently 8,551 residential homes for sale in the United States.. With the market starting to change, weve seen a decrease of 25.3% in sales in the Utah housing market, and 49% of homes had price drops. In January 2023, 17.5% of homes in Utah sold below list price, down 27.8 points yearover year. The party was over. Wood and Eskic expect a staggering 40% to 50% drop in the number of new homes produced in Utah over the next two years. At the very least, folks can expect some sort of moderation over the next few years but not a decline. Utah home prices remain significantly higher than the national average. Some investors flip houses, others wholesale them. We go back to the 70s, for example, Eskic said. Sign In. We dont have that.. Rates rose dramatically in 2022, but I believe that they have now peaked. 2022's housing market follows Utah's hottest housing year ever . Such a decline is extremely unlikely in Utah in 2023 and 2024, Wood wrote. Will it pop or deflate?, disagree over how much home prices will decline, Why two housing experts disagree on how much Utah home prices will drop in 2023, Housing market is correcting but Utahs affordability crisis isnt going away. There were only 31.8% of homes that had price drops, up from 10.0% of homes in January last year. Realtor.com anticipates Salt Lake City metro home-price growth will be at 8.5% and home-sales growth at 15.2% in 2022. , The direction and pace at which housing supply changes indicate whether the options for buyers are increasing or decreasing. increase. They. After prices peaked in May, Salt Lake Countys median single family home price hit $650,000. With rates hitting record lows of 2%, things are about to change in 2022 as recent trends on 30-year fixed mortgages have already come very close to 3%. But its not the bubble we know, The Wests sharp housing market correction: Heres how fast home prices have fallen in 4 months, Housing market is correcting but Utahs affordability crisis isnt going away. Utah Housing Market Forecast 2022: The Complete Guide, Step-by-Step tips on using real estate analytics, Top Investment Properties for Sale in Midway, Top Investment Properties for Sale in North Ogden, Top Investment Properties for Sale in Ogden, Top Investment Properties for Sale in Orem, Top Investment Properties for Sale in Payson, Top Investment Properties for Sale in Provo, Top Investment Properties for Sale in Salt Lake City, Top Investment Properties for Sale in Sandy, Top Investment Properties for Sale in Santa Clara, Top Investment Properties for Sale in St. George, Orlando Real Estate: Top 10 Neighborhoods to Invest In, How to Find Investment Property in the Los Angeles Real Estate Market 2018, Tampa: Hot Weather, Hot Real Estate for 2017, Hawaii Real Estate: Most Affordable Places for Traditional and Airbnb Investments 2018. If you dont see our email and have already checked your spam or junk folder, please give us a call at 1 (800) 319-0511. After a peak of the housing market in May 2022, when the Utah median home price reached a record $577,500, Utah house prices have slowly been decreasing, although they remain higher than they were the year prior. Yeah, thats a valid point, Wood replied, drawing laughs from the crowd. Thats a good thing, because they were overpriced anyway, right? Perry said. Others argue the apartments meet the growing demand for high-end housing in Salt Lake City, it's the latest development in what's been an expensive year to find and afford a home. This would place . This dataset excludes all rentals data. REDFIN IS COMMITTED TO AND ABIDES BY THE FAIR HOUSING ACT AND EQUAL OPPORTUNITY ACT. Eskic said it all comes down to affordability. Utah may be the 13th-largest state in the country by area, but it is also the 11th-least densely populated. Median listing prices were 3.6% lower than in the third quarter, suggesting that higher financing costs may have created a price ceiling. READ REDFIN'S, Do not sell or share my personal information. Like many other housing markets in the United States, the Utah housing market follows seasonal trends. The time to purchase your primary residence is today and has almost always been today. Even before COVID swept across the world, the Utah housing market was already out of reach for 63% of renter households. Historically speaking, real estate only becomes more expensive over time. Agents receive this question at least 10 to 15 times per week. High-cost areas like San Francisco, he said, will see a 15% price decline. In Utah, housing prices have begun to decline, down from their peak in May, when the median sales price of Salt Lake County homes was $565,600. The surge in home prices across the country resulted in many thinking homes were sold for more than theyre worth. It is likely that home buyers are waiting for asking prices to fall further and hoping that mortgage rates do the same. Forecasted home price change: +8.5%. Inflation is outpacing most salaries, decreasing the value of the dollar. The governor said his proposed budget should translate to about 1,100 new low-income units across the state. On average, the number of homes sold was down 34.7% year over year and there were 1,769 homes sold in January this year, down 2,712 homes sold in January last year. Hes employed as a professional actor and director of marketing and advertising at Hale Center Theater Orem, as well as director of communications at the Salt Lake Acting Company. But now, those days of wild buyer demand and a frenzy of seller activity is over, and real estate agents outnumber active listings. Salt Lake City is the capital and most populous city of Utah, with a population of 200,133, Salt Lake City housing market is somewhat competitive, with listed properties receiving three offers per listing and 24.5% of them selling above the asking price. By Sarah Burns of The Salt Lake Local Real Estate Group, October 21, 2021 Utah State #2 in Housing Price Increases Utah's equity gains sat at 28.3% between 2020 and 2021, making Utah #2 in housing . Mashvisors Utah housing market forecast 2022 and pretty much all other real estate forecasts for the year have identified Salt Lake City metro area as the countrys hottest housing market-beating other burgeoning areas like Boise ID and Spokane WA. That said, listing prices were higher in Morgan, Wasatch, and Summit counties compared to the prior quarter. So unless we have a real serious recession, I think prices have some support given our economy., Wood also said even if home prices dropped 10%, they wouldnt set off a wave of foreclosures, unlike what happened in 2008, which just pulled prices down. Like West Valley City, West Jordan is considered to be a suburb of the capital city Salt Lake City. Compass announced a third round of layoffs on Thursday, according to The Real Deal. 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