When that venture folded, Daily Racing Form incorporated the Figures into its past performances beginning in April, 1992. He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? Shancelot was trained by Jorge Navarro, whose years of doping horses under his care have been well documented. Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. With a horse who did not make his debut until April of his 3-year-old year and , who has raced just three times over the span of eight months, trainer John Sadler has been very deliberate with Flightline. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? Stat to remember: Since the Beyer Speed Figures were introduced in . Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on Saturday for his first stakes win in 14 career starts. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. color: #FFF; }. )[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. Hes a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. They are meant to represent the racing merit of an Australian horse. This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. 7 Winners on Monday! In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. It will be well thought out and he'll have him ready to run no matter where he winds up.. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Why do we care? Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. The Beyer Speed Figures business is a partnership of Beyer and Mark Hopkins. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. The Beyer Speed Figures are an easy indicator to determine which horse will likely become the favorite to win in a race. background-color: #104E8B; Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. TimeformUS also valued the Wood Memorial, with Early Voting gaining the top mark. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Kentucky Derby 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. Prior to the Malibu, Flightline and Baby Yoda (Prospective) were tied for the best number on the year, a 114. In horse racing, power ratings are generally called class ratings. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. . Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. Sure, there are some extremely talented horses in the Longines Classic division including, among others, Hill n Dale Metropolitan Handicap winner Flightline, Pegasus World Cup victor Life Is Good, and Dubai World Cup Sponsored by Emirates Airline winner Country Grammer, but Olympiad has cemented his status as a top contender and a budding star for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. This year, five colts already have surpassed a 102: Taiba, Mo Donegal, Early Voting, all with 111s to their credit, as well as Messier (108) and Zandon (103). Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. (Note that this speed figure was assigned before the numbers were published in the Daily Racing Form, so may not be included in some listings of the top speed figures. That's the case for this year's Wood Memorial, where pacesetter Early Voting got a slightly higher TimeformUS Speed Figure than Mo Donegal. }. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. The Beyer speed figure of 79 was solid if not spectacular, but the manner in which the win was accomplished - a stalking trip followed by a good late kick - suggests this colt will be perfectly suited by an extended sprint . Regularly updated current leaders in Beyer Figures, by division, Stormy Liberal's 119 Beyer one for the books, Context matters in determining Beyers for Personal Ensign Stakes, Beyer analysis supports Justify as Derby favorite, Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures, Purchase Beyer on Demand & Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures Click here >>, Download free sample Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures. Commentator, who once ran a 123 in his career, scored a 120 as a 7-year-old, possibly a record for a horse that old. To me, he's a gift.. Only four contenders in this year's prospective Derby field have a Beyer Speed Figure within five points of co-tops Taiba and Messier:Epicenter with a 102 and Zandon, Zozos and Simplification, each of whom have a 98 Beyer to their credit. We expect next year to go a lot different than this year because when you do right by a horse, you build a better product going forward. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. Figure 1a shows the stack of the device used for the study with a scanning electron microscope . Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. 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Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). . BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. We'll analyze the Beyer Speed Figures on the prep . padding: 4px; For example, Messier posted a 98 Beyer in his most recent race but also has a 103 on his resume, indicating a consistent high-level performer. The race got a 101 Beyer Speed Figure. table.tableizer-table { Flightline, now a 4-year-old, posted an impressive Beyer speed figure of 126 in the Pacific Classic, and continued a five-race string of excellence of 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126 leading into . padding: 4px; Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. In two of that year's Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. Both represent significant jumps - and another notable improvement, which would be necessary to compete against elite 3-year-olds, is a big ask from a 3-year-old. [citation needed]. Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. table.tableizer-table { The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. After the New York Times gave the book an unexpected rave review, Picking Winners attracted a wide audience. Periods of rain. font-weight: bold; He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. Taiba ran his in a five-furlong Maiden Special Weight in March. However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. 60 Broad St. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . Hes also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline ( Tapit) is really, really, fast . Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. Another very fast horse who was handled that way was Ghostzapper (Awesome Again). The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. border: 1px solid #CCC; If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Indy, earned her lone win at 1 1/16 miles and produced Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. Brisnet speed ratings are courtesy ofBrisnet. [4] Easy Goer and Sunday Silence both earned 124 speed figures in the 1989 Breeders' Cup Classic, which tied for the fastest speed figure earned in any Breeders' Cup race. Make sure you keep an eye out in the coming weeks for any changes to the Kentucky Derby field. Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. Epicenter has just recently won the Risen Star stakes by about three lengths with a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 points. Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. margin: 3px; By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. Only one horse has recorded a better Beyer speed figure than Flightline's 126 in the Pacific Classic, and none have matched his five-race string of excellence 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126. The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. Chance of rain 100%. The number of horses to run at least a 95 BSF is equal in the past two Derbies at nine apiece. He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. No specifics, he said. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Happy Jack. Module One, GlobalFoundries, Wilschdorfer Landstrae 101, Dresden, 01109 Germany . Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in the Kentucky Derby after his Wood victory. .tableizer-table th { If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. Here are the 19 highest Beyer figures for Saturday's races, with figures from Brisnet and TimeformUS where available. Its true that Speightsown has sired plenty of quality 2-year-olds and talented sprinters, but hes actually far more versatile than that. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts.The winning figure for a race is based on three factors: the final time, the distance, and the inherent speed of the track (a calculation known as the track variant.) A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a 102 in the Louisiana Derby. He said the best input you can have is to make sure you don't have any input. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. In 1992, Beyer began making turf figures, which were made more accurate by his adjustment of the beaten-lengths chart, in which he uses the six-and-a-half furlong beaten-lengths chart for all races at that distance or longer, to reflect the nature of turf racing, where horses jockey for position most of the way, and then sprint home with almost all of their energy in reserve, making the competitive part of the race more akin to a sprint than to the race's actual distance. The lone outright winner to run under a 100 came in 2014 (California Chrome, 97). The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. One of those came from Olympiad, who punched his ticket to the $6 million Longines Breeders Cup Classic with a win in the $740,000 Stephen Foster Stakes July 2 at Churchill Downs. After a weekend of three extremely telling Kentucky Derby prep races, and 50-point races coming quickly, there's no better time to take a look at how the crop has performed figures-wise to this point. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. Owned by WinStar . Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. .tableizer-table td { 2022 Preakness: Beyer Speed Figures For Every Horse. Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. The figures are generally less reliable in turf races, which often have a slow early pace resulting in slow final times that do not reflect the horse's true speed. He was nearly in a walk when crossing the wire after completing the seven furlongs in 1:21.37. [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . [Related: Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections]. The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. Beyer's subsequent research added the last piece of the puzzle. Beyer Sire Performance Standings offer a metric for measuring stallion performance beyond wins and earnings. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Un Ojo Ethereal Road and Happy Jack have the lowest career-best BSFs. There is so much to look forward to out there.. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TDN FOR FREE! So it's possible for a horse to earn a number that is higher than a horse who finished ahead. Your TDN download has begun. Beyer Speed Figures earned by Messier (103) and Adare Manor (94) in their blowout victories yesterday at Santa Anita were the highest by male and female 3-year-olds, respectively, thus far in 2022. However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. Play today with NYRA Bets! Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. Last year, he was on fire. The Malibu was the longest start of his career. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, youll want the skinny on the horses. In 1963, Taulbot sent his parallel-time chart to Beyer's Harvard classmate, Sheldon Kovitz, who adjusted it to account for velocity (e.g., a horse who runs six furlongs in 1:09 will run its seventh furlong faster than one who runs 1:13, and so forth). In the only . That will be my guiding principle.. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with a different value. After reaching the WIAA Division 1 girls basketball state . Click Here to sign up for a free subscription. Beyer Speed Figures had him with a top of 79 as a 2-year-old, but he earned a 94 for the San Vicente and a 98 for the San Felipe, so he's . If the download does not complete, Click Here. He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, you'll want the skinny on the horses. The ultimate objective is to have every number express the quality of a horses performance. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts. p: (800) 647-6571 Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. Combining BSFs with other metrics like Brisnet Speed Figures and final furlong times gives us a more complete picture of this field. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. .tableizer-table td { Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. The top-end speed runs deeper in this field, as well. Beyer Speed Figure: 86.7 Betting Favorites All time: 2 for 15: 2021 Winner: Modern Games (*) $2 Exacta: $93.60 $1 Trifecta: $958.70 With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on June 8, 2022 - Last Updated on June 9, 2022. On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. I believe the number for the Wood was inflated after it was compared to the Gazelle Stakes (G3) at the same distance on the same card. APPLETON - Change can be difficult, but Appleton East guard Sammi Beyer is taking a positive approach to her senior season. (16-1) earned a 93 Beyer . It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. } The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Taiba (+800) and Messier (+800) lead the group having posted 103s previously in Kentucky Derby Prep races. 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